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The author of this page will appreciate comments, corrections and imagery related to the subject. Please contact Anatoly Zak.


In the meantime: (A historical context for the events described in this section):

2008 November: Barack Obama elected president of the United States. In one of the first moves, the new administration launches a broad review of the nation's space program.

2010 February: The White House cancels the effort to return astronauts to the Moon by 2020.

2014: Russia annexes Crimea, triggering a bloody conflict in Ukraine and Western sanctions against Moscow.


Related pages:



2012

Manned space flight in 2010


Launchers

Launcher development in 2010s


Space industry in 2010s



Industry

Space industry in 2000s


Sunkar

Sunkar


Light

Proton-Light


Soyuz-5

Soyuz-5 rocket


Yenisei-5

Yenisei-5


Sodruzhestvo

Sodruzhestvo


GLA

Hypersonic vehicles


MAKS-2013

MAKS 2013 air show


sep

Soyuz MS


TGK

TGK PG


china



Russian space program outlook:

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025


 

 

 

Russian space program in the 2010s:
a decadal review

Status and direction of the Russian space program during a period from 2010 to 2019.


Timeline

A timeline unveiled by the Russian space agency in 2013 outlining general direction of the Russian space program.


Overall economic outlook

Russia entered the second decade of the 21st century in the midst of the world-wide economic crisis. In 2009, the Russian economy shrank by 8.5 percent, amid declining oil revenues and the flight of foreign capital from the country. As a result, the nation's space budget, heavily dependent on government subsidies, experienced a shortfall in the runup to 2010, pushing a number of projects behind schedule. Still, in a larger economy there were some positive developments on the horizon -- one being a reported long-awaited reversal of the 15-year-long population decline. As a key ingredient of a healthy nation, the population increase promised to reduce Russia's lag behind the economic growth of China, Brazil and India -- nations with emerging economies and, not coincidently, with growing space programs. At least one optimistic Western forecast even gave the Russian economy a chance to overtake Germany's in 2029 and Japan's in 2037. (375)

Space budget

Thanks to government subsidies, the Russian space industry weathered the 2008-2012 economic crisis relatively unscathed. During 2012-2015, the Russian government promised to invest 650 billion rubles into the space industry. (According to the data released by the Ministry of Economic Development in September 2012, a total of 590 billion rubles was promised for the Russian space program during 2013-2015). By the end of 2012, the Russian government promised to spend 2.1 trillion rubles (including non-federal funds) before 2020. In April 2013, President Putin quoted 1.6 trillion rubles ($51.8 billion) to be spent on space program until 2020. The revival of the GLONASS navigation network and the construction of the new launch site in Vostochny were often quoted as the biggest space budget items. Despite a steady growth in the first half of the decade, the space spending was under repeated assaults by the Finance Ministry during budgetary planning, prompting several letters from Roskosmos to the Russian president.

On December 15, 2012, the Russian government approved the latest revision of the Federal Space Program, which covered a time period from 2006 to 2015 and was previously updated in March 2011. The program reportedly doubled the budget for communications and remote-sensing satellites by shifting funds from other programs. This change in priorities would enable Roskosmos to deploy 95 satellites by 2015 and a total of 113 spacecraft by 2020, the head of the agency said. According to the Izvestiya daily, launches of 20 spacecraft were pushed beyond the scope of the program ending in 2015, nine missions were canceled altogether, and 10 new projects were initiated.

In parallel, in January 2013, Roskosmos officially presented to the government a draft of the "State Program" entitled the "Space Activities of the Russian Federation in 2013-2020" with a total price tug of 2,120 billion rubles. The document also contained "foundations" of a space strategy extending until 2030. The responsibility for the accomplishing the goals proclaimed in the new strategy was shared between Roskosmos and the Ministry of Defense. 10 other ministries, including atomic agency, Rosatom, also participated. Echoing previous documents, the policy declared space access and application projects a top priority for the agency, placing scientific missions to the second place in importance and relegating manned missions to the bottom tier. The proclaimed goal of the program called for the increase of the Russian share in the world's space industry from 10.7 percent in 2011 to 14 percent in 2015 and 16 percent in 2020.

In case of a formal approval of the January 2013 document by the Kremlin, Roskosmos would find itself with two overlapping strategies to follow (if not two budgets to finance same projects) until at least 2015. Observers explained such a strange situation by an attempt to camouflage the failure to fulfill the goals of the earlier document ending in 2015 with new declarations in the latest strategy with much more remote deadline of 2020. Such tactic was known as "running on the shifting sand."

According to the officially proclaimed policy, Roskosmos was directed to make the latest strategy public, sans parts dealing with sensitive military and commercial secrets. Yet, the document posted on the agency's web site on Jan. 12, 2013, was widely decried as making mockery of informing Russian taxpayers. The vaguely phrased 10-page paper contained practically no new information on the program and also revealed factual errors and major omissions.

Slightly more information was contained in the new revision of the document published in May 2013. Since rockets always form the foundation of any independent space program, the agency's commitment or lack of thereof to the development of new launchers illustrated the pace and scope of the Russian space program. As before, upcoming goals were grouped into time periods before 2015, before 2020, before 2030 and after 2030.

Federal Space Program for 2016-2025 (FKP-2025)

In 2014, Roskosmos drafted the new 10-year Federal Space Program, FKP-2025, which was to cover a period from 2016 to 2025. According to the document, the agency requested 2,315.3 billion rubles of federal funds including:

  • 1,493.0 billion for research and development;
  • 463.3 billion for other expenses;
  • 110.0 billion for capital expenses.

According to Roskosmos, it would buy the agency 180 new spacecraft by 2025. (713) The picture worsened during the rest of 2014, when falling oil prices coincided with the Russian annexation of Crimea and resulting economic sanctions from Europe and the crash of the ruble. By the end of the year, the Russian economy went into the recession, while the Russian space program faced a serious budget crisis, which increased the cost of all projects by 27 percent on average. As a result, in December 2014, the entire space strategy and its key documents were brought under review. (744)

In April 2015, as the Russian economy contracted by two percent, the proposed budget for FKP-2025 was slashed by 800 billion rubles from 2,849.4 billion (counting the latest devaluation of the ruble) to 2,004 billion rubles. During the same period, Roskosmos hoped to receive 1.8 trillion rubles, mostly with profits from commercial launches, satellite communications and space tourism. A number of long-term projects in early stages of development was canceled.

Interestingly, Roskosmos eventually disclosed that out of 1.8 trillion rubles planned to be received by the State Corporation between 2013 and 2020, it had actually gotten 1.5 trillion rubles, after all of the budget cuts.

During most of 2015, Roskosmos worked to push the 2016-2025 program through around 20 ministries and institutions, including the Russian Academy of Sciences, Ministry of Defense, Ministry of Finance and various users of the program, before its final approval by November or December of that year. In addition, Roskosmos also worked to approve its annual budget and projected funding for two subsequent years. As of October 2015, the 2016 budget was expected to see an increase in comparison to the funding for 2015, however that increase would not be as high as first projected in the three-year forecast that had been made in 2014. (755)

Roskosmos saw new budget cuts in 2017, some boost promised in 2018

Financial problems for the Russian space program continued into 2017. Going into a three-year budget period covering 2017, 2018 and 2019, the government cut a total of 58.8 billion rubles ($1.02 billion) from Roskosmos' budget. At the same time, the Ministry of Finance also insisted that the resulting budget would remain flat at the 2017 level of 86 billion rubles ($1.49 billion) per year for the entire three-year period, Roskosmos sources said. An extra six billion ($104 million) was added to the 2018 budget only after some negotiations between space officials and the government. These extra moneys allowed Roskosmos to begin the development of the new-generation Soyuz-5 launch vehicle and to continue a few other previously stalled programs. However, there will still be a gap between the official cost of formally approved projects and the actual budget available to Roskosmos in the next two years, industry sources said.

Russian government details the end-of-decade space budget

Putin

Vladimir Putin reviews financial indicators of the Roskosmos State Corporation during a meeting with Dmitry Rogozin on Feb. 4, 2019.


During a government meeting on Jan. 23, 2019, Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev said that the planned budget for Roskosmos for the upcoming three years would be more than 515 billion rubles ($7.77 billion).

Then on February 4, during a meeting in the Kremlin between Vladimir Putin and Head of Roskosmos Dmitry Rogozin, official TV showed the Russian president holding a presentation with the "consolidated indicators" for the Roskosmos State Corporation. The following numbers in billions of rubles were discernable (approximate figures in millions of US dollars are shown in brackets):

-
Actual for 2016
Actual for 2017
Estimated for 2018
Forecast for 2019
Consolidated revenue
275.3 (4,205)
304.4 (4,649)
387.2 (5,914)
445.5 (6,805)
Ministry of Defense (orders to Roskosmos)
61.8 (943)
51.0 (779)
139.6 (2,132)
156.0 (2,383)
Roskosmos federal programs
80.8 (1,234)
91.4 (1,396)
102.7 (1,569)
120.1 (1,834)
Non-budgetary revenue from foreign sources
52.2 (797)
81.5 (1,244)
66.4 (1,014)
?
Non-budetary revenue from domestic sources
29.0 (442.9)
29.3 (447)
31.7 (484.2)
?
Other military and federal programs (?)
51.5 (786.6)
51.2 (782)
46.6 (711.8)
?
Consolidated profit
-10.2 (-155.8)
-16.0 (-244.4)
1.9 (29)
?

According to the revealed data, even with all the federal and military contracts, Roskosmos ended up $400 million in the red in 2016 and 2017, but the State Corporation was estimated to be back in a positive territory in 2018.

In the meantime, one well-informed source told RussianSpaceWeb.com that Roskosmos had been bracing for a shrinking of the space industry by as much as 30 percent due to severe budget cuts.

Ground infrastructure

As of 2016, a separate Federal Program for the development of three Russian spaceports called for a 750-billion-ruble ($13 billion) budget from 2016 to 2025. Baikonur would cost 50 billion rubles ($868 million), Plesetsk would take 180 billion ($312 million) and Vostochny would consume more than 500 billion ($8.68 billion). However the final program deferred all the efforts to bring launches of cosmonauts to Vostochny until the completion of the development of a super-heavy rocket at the end of the 2020s.

Space industry: a mixed picture

Despite improved funding, the reality showed that money couldn't buy everything. Typically for the Russian economy, the nation's space sector continued suffering from the aging work force, brain drain and inefficiency.

(More on the subject)

Drafting long-term space strategy

On April 26, 2012, Roskosmos, published a presentation, providing details about the nation's space strategy, which was officially approved by the agency behind closed doors back on March 6, 2012, and submitted to the Kremlin and other federal institutions. The document was prepared by a working group led by former head of Roskosmos Yuri Koptev, Roskosmos announced. The public outline painted in rather uncertain terms a broad and mixed picture of Russian goals in space all the way to the year 2030. The first phase of the plan extending to 2015 was highlighted by a practically impossible to fulfill promise to build a new Vostochny launch center. By 2020, a new-generation rocket complex would have to be "deployed" at Vostochny -- yet another unreachable goal. (From 2012, it essentially meant building a launch pad for the Angara-5-based rocket in Vostochny under a code-name Amur.) Around the same time, the new-generation manned spacecraft would have to be developed, the presentation declared, again, contrary to realistic expectations for such a complex undertaking under current conditions. The Russian "participation" in international missions to Venus, Jupiter and asteroids was listed, without specific launch dates.

During the next phase, extending to 2030, a super-heavy rocket, like Angara-100 or Yenisei-5, would have to be deployed in Vostochny, supporting manned Moon landings, along with a variety of missions within a "full range" of Earth orbits. In parallel, serviceable spacecraft of unspecified purpose were promised, along with unmanned missions to Mars, Venus, Jupiter and Saturn. Missions to remove space junk from space and mitigate threat posed by asteroids would also be possible, the document said.

Within a range of priorities quoted by the document, application missions were pragmatically placed at the highest level, with manned transport systems, including reusable rockets, occupying a second tier in importance, while the development of the internationally sponsored manned mission to Mars and a new-generation manned space station were both left at the third level.

Despite its vague wording and hefty proclamations, the document clearly highlighted the effort by the current leadership at the agency to steer the industry toward more pragmatic goals than prestige-oriented projects inherited from the Soviet period. The latest strategy clearly echoed previously voiced concern of the Roskosmos' leadership about the need to reform the industry, which was heavily skewed toward manned space flight (with 58 percent of overall space funding going to manned sector), at the expense of application and science missions. At the same time, the agency apparently still had no choice but to confirm its commitment to a costly and mostly politically motivated enterprise to build a new launch site in the Far East. Given low priority of ambitious manned projects and the virtual absence of funding for a heavy-lifting launch vehicle, the yet-to-be-built launch site threatened to turn into another painful and endless sacrifice to the political altar.

In October 2012, Roskosmos started the 628.8-million-ruble ($18.8 million) Strategiya and the 726-million-ruble ($21 million) Programma projects, which aimed to develop the federal space strategy until 2030. Both contracts went to a single bidder -- the agency's own TsNIIMash research institute, which led a similar Magistral and Magistral-2 studies during the 2000s. The latest work was completed in May 2013 with the approval of the formal doctrine entitled "Policy foundations in the field of space activities for the Russian Federation until 2030 and beyond."

The change of leadership at Roskosmos in 2013 apparently marked yet another zigzag in the agency's strategy. On Dec. 27, 2013, Roskosmos announced two new tenders -- 883-million-ruble Strategiya-2 and 968.8-million-ruble Programma–2 -- with a total price tag of almost 2 billion rubles ($60 million) for the development of its strategic documents until 2030. The "winning bid" was to be "selected" on Feb. 13, 2014, and, again, the agency's TsNIIMash was expected to be an inevitable receiver of hefty funding extending until Nov. 25, 2015. However this time, the announcement of the "tender" attracted a critical attention of the Russian public and even of the semi-official press. The newly appointed chief of the agency Oleg Ostapenko, the third space boss since 2011, was quickly blamed for wasteful spending. Although some of the arguments made in those articles were somewhat misguided, they did make a rare criticism of the agency's inefficiency, despite all the money thrown at it in the past decade.

Launch-vehicle strategy

By 2013, Roskosmos drafted a very preliminary roadmap toward the development of the heavy and super-heavy launch vehicles. Not surprisingly, it matched closely the strategy that NASA had followed since 2011 within the Space Launch System, SLS, project. Speaking at the meeting on the prospects of the Russian space program chaired by president Vladimir Putin in Blagoveshensk on April 12, the head of Roskosmos Vladimir Popovkin said that the agency had been conducting the study (known as Magistral) into the launch vehicle with a payload of 75-80 tons and whose "open architecture" would enable to upgrade it later to carry up to 120-130 tons into the low Earth orbit. Whether the Russian government would endorse, let alone fund such a plan, remained unclear at the time. Still, TsSKB Progress, RKK Energia and GKNPTs Khrunichev were known working on alternative proposals.

(More on the subject)


Human space flight

Traditionally, manned space flight remained one of the strongest areas of the Russian space program, taking at least 50 percent of the space budget. During its 10-year space budget from 2006 to 2015, Russia reportedly spent 186.6 billion rubles for the ongoing assembly and operation of the International Space Station, ISS. With improved funding in the second half of 2000s, Russian government started planning new goals for its cosmonauts, largely reflecting US efforts, including lunar expeditions. However, in February 2010, the Obama administration proposed to cancel the plan to return to the Moon within the Constellation program. The move could have major implications for other space-faring powers, first of all Russia and Europe, for years to come. Russian space officials hurried to re-affirm the public that the crisis in the US would have no effect on the the nation's long-term plans. However, an overly ambitious program by Roskosmos to build a new launch center, introduce a whole new type of rockets in 2015 and a next-generation manned spacecraft in 2018 looked less and less realistic. Critics questioned the wisdom of committing to a decade-long development program, instead of upgrading the existing Soyuz spacecraft for lunar missions, which could be accomplished within few years.

Even RKK Energia, the country's main and only manned spacecraft developer, was weary of the agency's grandiose space plans. During 2010 and 2011, the company tried to convince Roskosmos to limit the mass of the next-generation spacecraft to 12 tons, thus enabling its launch on a medium-class vehicle based on the existing Zenit rocket and launch facilities in Baikonur. The company was also quietly seeking commercial collaboration with an emerging crop of manned spacecraft developers in the US.

In the meantime, the partners involved into the ISS project faced a difficult dilemma: where to go next in space with limited funding available to space agencies on both sides of the Atlantic. Although the ISS was given the green light to operate until at least 2020, decisions about the future would have to be made well in advance, particularly, if space agencies wanted to join forces in an effort to expand human space flight beyond the Earth orbit. In the absence of a bold commitment to go to the Moon, Mars or asteroids, space planners in the US and Russia considered sending missions to the so-called Lagrange points, which could serve as staging hubs for deep-space exploration, if such projects ever became affordable.

In the meantime, inside Russia, there were first signs that the manned space flight was no longer an untouchable holy cow. In 2011, the newly appointed head of the Russian space agency Vladimir Popovkin first warned that the national space program had overemphasized manned missions. This attitude was echoed by the Kremlin in August 2013, when the Russian Vice Prime Minister Dmitry Rogozin told Vesti-24 TV channel that Roskosmos officials had had to learn how to answer question what (manned space flight) was for. "If in the past we were launching cosmonauts to prove the world that they could work in orbit for a very long time, now, we have many other practical applications in unmanned space flight that we ought to pursue," Rogozin said.

See also:

Russian human space flight strategy in the 2010s


Missions into deep space

Russia's most neglected field of space exploration had to essentially make an attempt at rebirth during 2010s. Beginning in 2011, Roskosmos promised to launch long-delayed probes to Mars, Moon and Venus, along with a new-generation of orbital observatories Spektr-R, Spektr-RG, Spektr-UF and Spektr-M for astronomy and astrophysics research. At the time, a newly appointed head of the Russian space agency, Vladimir Popovkin, said that Russia would return to the old Soviet practice of sending a pair of probes to each destination in the Solar System, thus doubling chances for success of costly deep-space missions. (520) In the first sign of implementation of this policy, the first Russian mission to explore the Sun from its vicinity under the Intergelio-Zond project was promised to be split into two vehicles.

Following the Phobos-Grunt launch fiasco, all planetary exploration and science projects in Russia faced uncertain future. In mid-January 2012, NPO Lavochkin reportedly submitted a new concept of planetary exploration to Roskosmos. As it transpired in the following months, a pair of lunar missions came to the forefront with launches not expected before 2016-2017, while other deep-space missions were pushed into 2020s. Missions to Mars could now be limited to a possible repetition of the Phobos-Grunt project in 2018 as the earliest and to the Russian participation in the European ExoMars launches in 2016 and 2018. The latter mission could be merged with the Mars-NET project. An asteroid-chasing mission, most likely to Apophis, remained in a definition state, with the launch date around 2020, as the earliest. Missions to Mercury and Venus were deferred to the next decade. A very preliminary plan for the exploration of Saturn under the Saturn-TE project was also drafted at the beginning of the decade, but its preliminary development, NIR, was not expected until 2017-2019.

Military and civilian application satellites

A large nomenclature of satellites for watching the Earth and its environment was planned during 2000s, however constant delays and onboard failures pushed most of the hopes to the next decade. Still, a new generation of satellites developed in the post-Soviet period was finally introduced in 2011, with the launches of the Elektro-L and GLONASS-K missions. Both projects were based on advanced satellite platforms which did not require pressurization to preserve their components, thus promising longer life in space.

In 2012, the Russian government officials said that 200 civilian and 100 military spacecraft would have to be launched by 2020. At the same time, Russia's main manufacturer of military and civilian satellites ISS Reshetnev reported that nearly 50 spacecraft had been in various stages of development, requiring the construction of a new assembly and testing facility with an area of 45,000 square meters. The contemporary constellation of Russian satellites included 118 operational spacecraft, according to the official numbers in 2012 and "more than 120" were quoted operating in orbit in mid 2015. (The statistics probably counted dual-purpose spacecraft as two vehicles.)

The Russian government put a special emphasis on rebuilding the remote-sensing constellation. With the launch of Kanopus-V, Zond-PP, BKA and Yubileiny-2 (MiR) satellites during 2012, Russia deployed as many as nine Earth-watching cameras in orbit. A total of 26 remote-sensing satellites were promised to fly by 2020. However, the 2012 revision of the Federal Space Program did kill a pair of radar-carrying Arkon-2M satellites, the material-science Vozvrat-MKA capsule, the Koronas-Nuklon sun-watching spacecraft and the ill-fated Sterkh search-and-rescue signal satellite.

In the field of satellite communications, the second phase of the Federal space program, covering the period from 2011 to 2015, called for the deployment of 22 satellites, however this goal could hardly be reached.

Missile systems

Another major field of responsibilities for Roskosmos extended into strategic missile systems. The agency oversaw key organizations responsible for the production of land-based and submarine-based ballistic missiles, as well as cruise missiles. In February 2011, Russian Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin, promised to triple the nation's spending on defense development from 0.5 to 1.5 percent of the GDP, beginning in 2012. In the course of the decade, some $650 billion were to be spent on the procurement of new weapons, including eight nuclear submarines and Bulava ballistic missiles. Ten divisions of the Russian armed forces would receive S-500 anti-missile systems.

The development of the new liquid-propellant ballistic missile to replace Ukrainian-built R-36M-2s was first announced at the end of 2009, however, apparently, the program was not officially approved until 2011. At the time, a new 100-ton vehicle, was not expected to fly until at least 2022. The development of the project was likely delegated to NPO Mashinostroenia, which previously designed the UR-100 family of missiles.

In 2009, Russian Ministry of Defense also resumed funding for hypersonic vehicles, however three years later Russia had significantly lagged in the field behind the United States, Vice Prime Minister Dmitry Rogozin said during his visit to Raduga enterprise specialized in missile systems. He called for boosting the status of hypersonic research projects to the highest priority level.


 

An overview of Russia's major research and development projects in rocketry and spacecraft during 2010s:

Project
Development start
Original launch date
Current launch date
Cost
Status
Manned spaceflight
Assembler/dockyard (Modul-Stapel)
2021
-
2024
-
Included in FKP-2025
International Space Station, ISS
1993
1997
1998
-
Included in FKP-2025
Lunar Base (LB)
2021
2025
2035
$50 billion (377)
Concept evaluation (376); Included in FKP-2025
Lunar Orbital Station (LOS)
2016
-
-
-
Concept evaluation; Included in FKP-2025
Mars (expedition)
2013
2021
-
-
Concept evaluation (376)
MIM1
-
2010
2010
-
Launched, operational
MLM
1999
2007
2017
-
In development; (376) Included in FKP-2025
NEM-1 (575GK, 371KK63)
2009
2014
2019
-
Full-scale development started in 2012 (376); Included in FKP-2025
NEM-2
2010
2015
-
-
Concept evaluation (376)
NEM-1 heavy
2024
2029
-
-
Concept evaluation (376)
NEM-2 heavy
2025
2030
-
-
Concept evaluation (376)
Node Module (UM)
2009
2013
2018
-
In development; Included in FKP-2025
Node Module Upgraded (UMM)
2019
2022
2022
-
In 2014, proposed for FKP-2025
OKA-T-MKS (52KS)
2006
2012-2015 (378)
R2.82 billion
Cost for 2006-2014; Included in FKP-2025;
OKA-T-2
2019
2024
2024
R14,443 million
Included in FKP-2025. In April 2015, deferred beyond FKP-2025
OPSEK /VShOS
2018 (?)
2020
-
-
Concept evaluation (376)
OPSEK core module
2015
2020
-
-
Concept evaluation (376)
Power module (EM)
2021
2025
2025
R13.7 billion
Proposed for FKP-2025 but not included.
Progress upgrades
-
-
-
-
-
PTK NP
2009
2015
2021
R60.77 billion*
In development during FKP-2015, -2025
Soyuz MS (upgrade)
2010
2012
-
In flight testing
TGKS (Parom)
?
2009
2015
-
Preliminary development (376)
Inflatable module (TM, 582GK)
2016
2021
2021
R12.3 billion
Proposed for FKP-2025.
TGK PG
2016
2020
-
-
Preliminary design completed in 2016
Lunar lander (LVPK)
-
-
-
-
Preliminary studies
Planetary spacecraft
Anapa
-
-
-
-
A circa 2013 proposal
Apophis
2019
2025
after 2020
-
Definition stage
Intergelio-Zond
2009
2011
2014 (388, 434) -2018, 2019; 2022
R4.2 billion*
In development; Included in FKP-2025. Postponed to 2025
ExoMars-2016
2012
2016
2016 or 2018
R5.6 billion*
In development; Included in FKP-2025
ExoMars-2018
2012
2018
2018 or 2020
In development; Included in FKP-2025
Laplas
-
2020
2022
-
Preliminary development, NIR;
Luna-Glob lander
-
2012
2019
-
Full-scale development; Included in FKP-2025
Luna-Glob orbiter
-
2012
2021
-
Full-scale development; Included in FKP-2025
Luna-Grunt
2016 (?)
2019
2025
R11 billion* (713)
Definition stage; Included in FKP-2025
Luna-Resurs
2009
2018
2023
-
Preliminary development, NIR; Included in FKP-2025
Lunny Poligon
-
after 2020
2022
-
Definition stage
Mars-NET (MetNet)
-
2016 (388)
?
-
Deferred;
Mars-Grunt (Expedition-M, MSR)
-
2024
2030?
-
In definition stage
Mercury-Lander (Merkury-P)
2016?
2016
after 2020
-
In definition stage
Phobos-Grunt
1992
1998
-
Launched, failed
Phobos-Grunt-2 (Bumerang)
-
2016
2025
R5.1 billion*
A 2011-2012 proposal
Saturn system mission (Saturn-TE)
2019
2026
-
-
In definition stage, a possible Russian orbiter and a balloon contributed to a European program
Solnechny Parus
2014
-
-
-
In definition stage
Venera-D
2010
2016
2026
Preliminary development until 2009, deferred
Venera-Glob
2016?
2021
-
-
A possible Russian lander contributed to a European EVE project or an independent project
Science spacecraft
1-M class planetary observatory
2020
2028
-
-
A proposal
Astrogon
-
-
-
-
A proposal (Karat-based)
Astrometria (Oziris)
-
-
2018 (327)
-
In definition phase
Astron-2
-
-
-
-
In definition phase
Bion-M (No. 1)
-
2010 (327)
2013 April 19
-
First launched, three in development; Included in FKP-2025
Bion-M (No. 2, 3)
-
2013
2019/2021
5.9 billion* (713)
In development
Foton-M (No. 4)
-
2010
2014 April
-
Launched
Gamma-400 -
2013
2018-2019
-
In definition phase. In April 2015, deferred beyond FKP-2025
GEOMAG
-
-
-
-
A proposal (Karat-based)
Ionosfera (Zond)
-
-
-
-
A proposal (Karat-based)
Ionozond
-
-
-
-
A proposal (Karat-based)
Koronas-Nuklon
-
-
-
R753.5 million
A 750-kilogram spacecraft canceled in 2012.
LIDA
-
-
-
-
A proposal (Karat-based)
Lomonosov (Mikhailo Lomonosov)
~2006
~2010
2016 April 28
-
A proposal (Karat-based)
LORD
-
-
-
-
A proposal (Karat-based)
Lunnaya Doroga
-
-
-
-
A proposal (Karat-based)
MKA-AVKP
-
-
-
-
A proposal (Karat-based)
MKA-FKI (PN1) Zond-PP
-
2008
2012
-
Launched successfully; failed in 2013
MKA-FKI (PN2) Relek
-
2010
-
Launched successfully; failed prematurely
MKA-FKI (PN3) Konus-M
-
2013
-
-
Canceled in March 2014
MKA-FKI (PN4) Strannik
-
2014
-
-
Canceled in March 2014
MKA FKI (PN5) ARKA
-
-
2007-2015 (327)
-
Canceled in March 2014
Orbital Observatory for High Energy, OLVI
2024
-
-
-
A proposal circa 2014 for a 12-ton satellite
Rentgenovsky Mikrofon
-
-
-
-
A proposal for an X-ray astrophysics satellite circa 2012
Rezonans (MKA FKI)
-
2012 (327), 2014 (388)
2017-2018
2019
-
OKR (in development); approved
Roy
-
-
-
Preliminary studies (NIR) of plasma-research project
Spektr-R (Radioastron)
2002
2007
2011
-
Completed in 2019
Spektr-UF (WSO)
-
-
beyond 2025
€100 million (327)
In development; delayed from 2000
Spektr-RG (Rentgen-Gamma)
2007
2012
2019
R5 billion
In development; delayed from 2012
Spektr-M (Millimetron)
-
2018 (327)
beyond 2025
est. $30 million
Preliminary design. In April 2015, deferred beyond FKP-2025
SVCh-RK
-
-
-
-
A proposal (Karat-based)
Terion F2  
-
2018 (327)
In definition phase
Tsvetok
-
-
-
-
A proposal (Karat-based)
Vozvrat-MKA
2009
2016
2021-2025
R860 million
A proposed life-science spacecraft; Included in FKP-2025. In April 2015, deferred beyond FKP-2025
Known military spacecraft
Araks-R
-
-
-
R672.8 million
In development since 2012
Bars-M, Bars-M2
2007
2012
2015 Feb. 27
-
Two satellites launched
Blagovest
?
?
2016
-
-
Ellips
2016 (?)
-
-
-
-
ESSS-3
-
-
-
-
Communications network
Garpun
-
2009?
-
No. 11L, 12L launched
Geo-IK-2
-
-
-
Failed to reach correct orbit
Gerakl-KV
-
-
-
-
Designed to replace Garpun data relay satellite
Klyuch
-
-
-
-
Designed to replace Rodnik communications satellites
Kobalt-M
-
-
-
-
Operational, might be close to retirement
Kondor
1993
1997?
-
Launched
Labirint-V
-
-
-
-
-
Liana
-
-
-
Operational
Meridian
-
-
-
-
Operational
Napryazhenie/Nevilir
-
after 2015
-
-
In development
Persona
-
-
R5 billion (326)
No. 1 failed soon after reaching orbit; No. 2 launched in 2013; No. 3 in 2015
Raduga-1M/Globus-1M
-
-
-
Operational
Razdan (14F156)
-
2019, 2022, 2024
-
-
Disclosed in 2016
Rodnik-S
-
-
-
-
Operational
Sfera-S
-
-
2021
-
Developed to replace Globus-1M in the ESSS-3 network
Sfera-V
-
-
-
-
Developed to replace Meridian in the ESSS-3 network
SSKMS (Insider Content)
2012
2019
2021
43.1 billion rubles (as of 2016)
Secure satellite communications project; stalled at the end of the 2010s
Tundra (EKS)
~1999
~2005
2015 Nov. 17
-
Early warning spacecraft for the EKS network
Civilian application and dual-purpose spacecraft
Aist
-
-
2013
-
-
Aist-2D
-
-
2016 April 28
-
-
Arkon-2
-
-
-
-
Three-band radar satellite; canceled
Arkon-2M
-
2009
2015
-
X-band radar satellite; canceled in 2012
Arktika-M
-
2013
2017
R5.4 billion
-
Arktika-MP
-
2022
-
-
In 2015, postponed beyond 2025
Arktika (R)
-
-
2017/2020
R5.4 billion
-
Asteroid protection spacecraft
2016?
-
-
R23 billion* (713)
In definition stage as of 2014
BLITS-2
2013
?
?
?
Calibration satellite
Braslet
2013
?
?
?
Communications satellite
Dopler
-
-
-
-
Data relay; Included in FKP-2025
Ekspress-AT1
-
-
2014 March 16
-
-
Ekspress-AT2
-
-
2014 March 16
-
-
Ekspress-AM4
-
-
2011 Aug. 18
-
Launch vehicle failure
Ekspress-AM4R
-
-
2014 May 16
-
Launch vehicle failure
Ekspress-AM5
-
-
2013 Dec. 26
-
-
Ekspress-AM6
-
-
2014 Oct. 21
-
-
Ekspress-AM7
-
-
2015 March 19
-
-
Ekspress-AM8
-
-
2015 Sept. 14
-
-
Ekspress-AMU1
2012
2015
2015 Dec. 25
Euro 300 million
-
Ekspress-AMU3
-
-
-
-
Included in FKP-2025
Ekspress-AMU7
-
-
-
-
Included in FKP-2025
Ekspress-MD-1/2
-
-
2012 August 6
-
Launched
Ekspress-RV
-
-
-
-
Included in FKP-2025
Ekspress-80
-
-
-
-
Included in FKP-2025
Ekspress-103
-
-
-
-
Included in FKP-2025
Elektro-L (No. 1, 2, 3)
-
-
2011 Jan. 20
-
No. 1, No. 2 launched
Elektro-M
-
2018
2021
-
-
Enisei-A1/A2 (Insider Content)
-
-
-
-
Experimental comsat for the SSKMS network; Included in FKP-2025
Ellips
-
-
-
-
Included in FKP-2025
GLONASS-K
-
-
2011 Feb. 26
-
Launched
GLONASS-K2
-
2013
2016?
-
Preliminary design in 2012-2013
Gonets-M
-
-
-
-
Included in FKP-2025
Gonets-M1
-
-
2017
-
Included in FKP-2025
Gonets-2.0         Preliminary design only
Kanopus-ST
~2000
2006
2015 (failure)
-
Ocean remote-sensing satellite
Kanopus-V No. 1
-
-
2012 July 22
-
Up to six satellites planned by 2020
Kanopus-V-IK
-
2013
2017
-
Infrared payload for wild fire detection
Kanopus-VM
-
-
2021/2022/2023
-
-
Kartograf
-
2014
2017
-
-
Kondor-FKA (E)
2016
2018
2018
~$65 million
Included in FKP-2025
Kosmos-SKh
-
-
-
-
Canceled?
Lider
-
2025
-
-
Included in FKP-2025
Luch-M (Luch-5A/5B)
2002 June 21
2008
-
Launched
Luch-5M
-
-
-
-
Included in FKP-2025
Maksat-R
-
-
?
Radar satellite
Meteor-M/M2/M2-1, M2-2
-
-
-
M2 launched in 2014
Meteor-MP
-
2021
2023
-
An addition to preliminary design 2011-2012
MKA-N
2012
2015
-
R315 million
An imaging nano-satellite
Obzor-O
2012
2015
2018
-
In development; Included in FKP-2025
Obzor-R
2013
-
2018
-
In development; to replace Arkon-2M; Included in FKP-2025
Obzor-LP
-
2022/2024/2025
-
-
Included in FKP-2025
Okean
-
2019
-
-
-
Resurs-P No. 1
-
2010
2013
R2.64 billion
Launched, operational
Resurs-P No. 2
-
2010
R2.64 billion
Launched, operational
Resurs-P No. 3
-
?
2016
R2.64 billion
In development
Resurs-PM (P No. 4, 5)
-
2015/2016 (388)
2017- 2018
-
In development
Sterkh
-
-
-
-
Canceled in 2012 after two failed launches
Yubileiny-2 (MiR)
-
2008?
2012 July 28
R30-40 million
Launched
Yamal-GK (1, 2, 3)
2016
2018
-
R47,809 million
Included in FKP-2025
Yamal-GK VEO (1, 2, 3)
2018
2021
-
R35,700 million
Included in FKP-2025
Launch vehicles, upper stages and space propulsion
Angara-1.2
1994
2005
2017
-
In flight testing
Angara-5
1994
2005
-
In flight testing
Angara-5P
2012
2018
2021
$425.6 million
In preliminary development (?)
Angara-5V
2015
2023
-
-
In preliminary development (?)
Dvina electric tug
-
-
-
-
-
Dvina-DM
-
-
-
-
DM-03 upper stage in development
KSLV
2004
-
2009
-
Launched
MRKS
2005
2016
after 2030
-
In definition stage
Nuclear-electric tug, MMB
2012
2018
-
$580 million
-
Persei-KV
-
-
-
-
Upper stage project for Angara-5
Rus-M
-
2015
-
-
Canceled in 2011
Soyuz-1 (Soyuz-2-1v)
2004
2011
-
Undergoing flight testing
Soyuz-2-3
-
-
-
-
Preliminary design completed
Soyuz-2-3v
-
-
-
-
A 2011 proposal from TsSKB Progress
Soyuz-2-1d
-
-
-
-
A 2012 proposal from TsSKB Progress
Soyuz-5
2013
2020-2025
2019
-
A 2013 proposal from TsSKB Progress
Turkestan
-
-
-
-
-
Sodruzhestvo
-
-
-
-
A 2012 RKK Energia proposal
Sunkar
-
-
-
-
A 2016 industry proposal
Yenisei-5
-
2028
-
-
A concept
Soyuz-5-PTK (Feniks)
-
-
-
-
In development
Elementy STK (Superheavy launcher)
2016
2028
-
-
Initial studies
Launch and support infrastructure
Angara pad in Plesetsk
-
-
-
Operational
Baiterek
2004
-
-
Not developed
Soyuz in Kourou
2003
2007
-
Operational
Vostochny (infrastructure)
2007
2015
2016
-
Partly operational and in development
Vostochny (Soyuz pad)
2011
84 billion rubles
Operational
Vostochny (Angara pad)
2012
2018
2021
-
In development
ASPOS OKP (461ON01)
-
-
2015
-
In development
Military missiles
S-500
-
-
-
-
New-generation anti-missile system
Avangard-R
-
-
2022
-
Proposed railway-based ICBM (?); new liquid-propellant ICBM (?)
Bulava-30 (SLBM)
-
-
-
-
Flight testing
Iskander
-
-
-
-
Operational deployment
GLA hypersonic vehicles (Avangard)
2009
-
-
-
R&D program
Lainer
-
-
-
-
SLBM
Rubezh
-
-
-
-
Modified Topol-M ICBM (?)
Sarmat
2009-2011 (?)
2016 (?)
2019-2021 (?)
-
Multi-warhead liquid-propellant ICBM
Topol-M ICBM
-
-
1994
-
Operational deployment
Yars
-
-
-
-
Mobile and silo-based Topol-M with MIRV warhead (?)
Kinzhal
-
-
2018
-
-

*Budget for 2016-2025 period

 

 

Key government and Roskosmos decisions related to Russian space activities during the 2010s:

Date Issuing body, document title/subject Document No.
2010 Nov. 11 An order of the government of the Russian Federation on the development of the strategy "Space Activities of Russia during 2013-2020" No. 1950-r
2011 Feb. 19 An order of the Russian President No. PR-412
2011 Feb. 22 A directive of the Roskosmos head -
2011 March 10 A directive of the Chairman of the Russian government No. VP-P7-1347
2011 March 31 A government decree on amendments to the Russian Federal Space Program from 2006 to 2015 No. 235
2011 Aug. 18 An order of the Roskosmos head No. VP-195
2011 Dec. 22 An order of the Roskosmos head to implement the regulation on production and use of rocket and space technology RK-11-KT No. 232
2012 March 3 Decree of the government of the Russian Federation on the creation of the support infrastructure of the Vostochny Cosmodrome as a part of the federal program "The Development of the Russian Cosmodromes in 2006-2015" No. 188
2012 May 7 A Decree of the Russian President "On the long-term economic policy of Russia" No. 596-606
2012 Aug. 28 A Russian government order on formation of the Cosmodrome Vostochny directorate No. 1546-r
2012 Dec. 15 A government decree on amendments to the Russian Federal Space Program during 2006-2015 No. 1306
2012 Dec. 28 Russian government order: On the state program of the Russian Federation "Space activities of Russia during 2013-2020" No. 2594-r
2013 April 19 Decree of the Russian President: Foundations of the state policy in space activities until 2030 and beyond No. Pr-906
2013 May 29 A directive of the Government of the Russian Federation to prepare the Federal Space Program for the period from 2016 to 2025, FKP-2025 No. RD-P7-3584
2013 June 26 A presidential order "On the commission for the structuring of the control system for the rocket and space industry" No. 250-rp
2013 Dec. 2 A presidential decree on the formation of the Unified Rocket and Space Corporation, ORKK No. 874
2014 Jan. 27 An order of the Federal Space Agency on the Organizing for the Preparation of the Draft of the Federal Space Program from 2016 to 2025 No. ON-24-rsp
2014 Feb. 3 An order of the Russian government on the formation of the Unified Rocket and Space Corporation, ORKK No. 114-r
2014 Sept. 10 An order of the President of the Russian Federation No. Pr-2165
2014 Sept. 10 An order of the President of the Russian Federation to re-subordinate the Military Industrial Commission from the Russian government to the Russian President No. 627
2014 Nov. 19 A Russian government order "On some issues around the activities of federal organization "Vostochny spaceport directorate" No. 1217
2015 Dec. 25 A Russian government decree "On state defense procurement for 2015 and 2016-2017" No. 1480-54
2015 July 2 A Russian government decision on the extension of the Russian ISS Segment No. DM-P7-4368
2015 July 13 A Federal Law on Roskosmos State Corporation No. 215-FZ
2015 July 25 A joint decision of Ministry of Defense and Roskosmos "On the Order of Implementation of the Development Project, OKR, Persei-KV and OKR Dvina-DM" No. IK-287-r
2015 Dec. 28 A Russian President decree "On dissolution of the Russian Space Agency" No. 666
2016 March 23 Decision of the Russian government on the Federal Space Program from 2016 to 2025. No. 230
2016 May 12 A Russian President decree "On measures for the creation of State corporation for space activities Roskosmos" No. 221
2016 June 2 A Russian Prime Minister order on the list of members of the State Commission for the testing of manned systems chaired by Aleksandr Ivanov of GK Roskosmos No. 1117-r
2016 Aug. 19 A Russian government decree "On measures for implementation of the Presidential Decree No. 221 from May 12, 2016, for the formation of Roskosmos corporation" No. 824
2017 March 30 Roskosmos decision on the Elementy STK super-heavy rocket program No. KI-153-r
2017 Sept. 19 A decree of the government of the Russian Federation approving the Federal Program "Development of Russian Cosmodromes during 2017 - 2025 in support of the Russian space activities" No. 1124
2018 Jan. 29 A decree of the Russian president "On the creation of the space rocket complex of the super-heavy class" No. 32
2018 May 18 A decree of the Russian president "On providing social payments to some categories of Russian citizens subject to resettlement from Baikonur for purchasing residential properties in the Russian Federation" No. 219
2018 July 28 A list of directions of the Russian president for the implementation of the Super-heavy rocket program from 2020 to 2030 No. Pr-1353
2018 Oct. 13 An order of the Russian government on the resettlement of Russian citezens from Baikonur facility to Russia No. 2215-r
2018 Nov. 15 Roskosmos State Corporation order on the formation of the working group for the development of projects within the federal program on the super-heavy rocket and its concept. No. RD-421-rsp
2018 Nov. 28 Roskosmos Technical and Scientific Council's Presidium adopt "Concept of the Russian Integrated Program for Research and Exploration of the Moon No. 10310-11
2018 Dec. 6 A decree of the Russian president on a special envoy of the Russian President on the issues of international cooperation in space. No. 696
2019 May 31 A decree of the government of the Russian Federation "On determination of operator of federal fund of data from space remote sensing and its responsibilities." No. 689
2019 June 7 A decree of the government of the Russian Federation "On amendments in the Russian Federal Space Program, FKP 2016-2025." No. 740

*A document "Russian Space Activities from 2013 to 2020" was reportedly approved at the end of 2013. (744)

 

Next chapter: Russian space program in the 2020s (INSIDER CONTENT)

 

Page author: Anatoly Zak; Last update: October 2, 2024

Page editor: Alain Chabot; Edits: April 21, 2011, September 25, October 19, 2017

All rights reserved

insider content

Book

approach

The development of the PTK NP spacecraft during 2010s was expected to provide a more capable replacement for the Soyuz manned transport. Copyright © 2010 Anatoly Zak


PTK launch

Before 2020, Russia promised to introduce a new family of launchers for the next-generation manned spacecraft based on the Russian territory. The program was discontinued in 2011.


OPSEK

A Russian concept of the orbiting assembly shop to replace the ISS after 2020 could serve as the foundation for an international program of deep space exploration. Copyright © 2009 Anatoly Zak


Spektr-R

The Spektr-R orbital telescope promised to jump-start Russian space science and pave the way to Spektr-RG, Spektr-UF and Spektr-M space observatories. Launched in 2011, Spektr-R operated until the beginning of 2019. Copyright © 2010 Anatoly Zak


Spektr RG

The Spektr-RG X-ray observatory was expected to be a second major astrophysics satellite launched in Russia during 2010s. Copyright © 2010 Anatoly Zak


Vozvrat-MKA

As of 2013, the Vozvrat-MKA capsule still had a hope to fly around 2018. Copyright © 2013 Anatoly Zak


Fobos-Grunt

The long-delayed Phobos-Grunt probe, was to become the first Russian spacecraft to go beyond Earth orbit since 1996. Copyright © 2010 Anatoly Zak


Luna-Glob

Luna-Glob was to lead the Russian return to the Moon. The program saw major revision in 2012. Copyright © 2008 Anatoly Zak


Beacon

During 2010s, Russian scientists considered a plan of sending radio-beacon to an asteroid Apophis to ensure that a 300-meter space rock would not be on a collision course with Earth in 2036. Copyright © 2010 Anatoly Zak


Angara in 2009

More than a decade behind schedule, the Angara project promised to give Russia a new family of space boosters. Copyright © 2010 Anatoly Zak


MKA

The standard MKA/Karat bus was expected to be used as a basis for numerous Russian science missions during the 2010s. Copyright © 2010 Anatoly Zak


Persona

Persona reconnaissance satellite was rumored to be a flagship of the Russian secret military space fleet. Copyright © 2012 Anatoly Zak.


Bulava-Topol

The Bulava submarine-launched missile (left) and the ground-based Topol-M ICBM were to become the backbone of Russia's strategic missile forces in the 21st century. Copyright © 2010 Anatoly Zak


M6

An experimental hypersonic vehicle designed for speeds up to Mach 6. In 2009, the Russian Ministry of Defense jump-started research in the field. Copyright © 2010 Anatoly Zak


Putin

Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Rogozin (left) and Roskosmos head Igor Komarov (center) demonstrate President Putin scale models of the Angara-5 rocket and the descent module of the next-generation manned spacecraft, PTK NP, on April 13, 2015. Click to enlarge. Credit: Russian government


A scale model of the nuclear-powered space tug was presented at the MAKS-2019 air show in Zhukovsky, Russia. Click to enlarge. Credit: Michael Jerdev / Special to RussianSpaceWeb.com


 

 

 

 

 

 

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